
Behind Hibret Bank’s Growth: Why Profits Fell Even as Deposits and Loans Rose
Hibret Bank grew its balance sheet, yet profitability plunged highlighting the hidden cost of FX reform and tighter regulation in Ethiopia’s banking sector.
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Hibret Bank grew its balance sheet, yet profitability plunged highlighting the hidden cost of FX reform and tighter regulation in Ethiopia’s banking sector.

Ethiopia’s central bank is injecting $50m into the market this week, giving banks brief FX relief but the move also underscores the deeper structural shortages and persistent parallel-market pressures still weighing on the economy.

Ethio Telecom’s 2025 financials reveal a sharp contrast between strong revenue growth and rising financial strain. While the operator expanded its top line and asset base, a surge in finance costs and short-term obligations reshaped the company’s risk profile, offering investors a more complex picture beneath the headline numbers.

Ethiopia’s central bank has issued a landmark Basel-aligned capital directive, reshaping how banks measure and manage risk.

Ethiopia’s birr weakened across every segment of the foreign-exchange market over the past month, with cash-based bureau rates recording the steepest drop. New data from Dashen Bank, Rooha Forex Bureau, and the National Bank of Ethiopia shows the birr losing between 4% and nearly 10% against the dollar in October, widening the gap between official and cash markets and signaling renewed pressure on hard-currency supply despite policy hints of future stability.
Ethiopian banks are celebrating their inclusion in Africa’s Top 100 Banks 2025, but the rankings rely on pre-float data from June 2024 months before the birr’s sharp devaluation. The result: inflated dollar valuations and a misleading picture of Ethiopia’s banking strength amid ongoing currency and capital-market reforms.

Ethiopia continues to defy regional headwinds, with the IMF projecting the economy to grow by 7.2% in 2025 nearly double the Sub-Saharan African average. While major economies like Nigeria and South Africa struggle to regain momentum, Ethiopia’s mix of infrastructure expansion, financial reforms, and agricultural recovery is cementing its position as one of the continent’s fastest-growing markets.

Ethiopia’s Treasury bill market split sharply last quarter: short-term securities saw unprecedented demand that drove yields down, while longer tenors spiked close to 20%. The divergence highlights investors’ preference for liquidity and the rising cost of long-term borrowing.

Ethiopia’s capital market regulator has licensed three new service providers including an investment bank and two securities advisers raising the number of authorized intermediaries to 11 as the country pushes ahead with building its nascent securities industry.

Ethiopia’s National Bank left its benchmark rate at 15% but lifted the credit growth ceiling to 24% from 18%, a calibrated step to ease bank liquidity while keeping disinflation on track.

Ethiopia has been officially classified as “in debt distress” by the IMF and World Bank ; a warning that the country is struggling to repay its loans. But what does this mean for the economy, for government spending, and for ordinary Ethiopians?

Ethiopia has officially inaugurated the $5 billion Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, the largest in Africa and financed almost entirely through domestic contributions. The project is poised to double the nation’s electricity output, cut reliance on costly diesel, and open a new stream of hard-currency exports. Its success now hinges on whether Ethiopia can expand the grid, reform tariffs, and turn megawatts into sustainable growth.

Ethiopia long paraded itself as Sub Saharan Africa’s fourth largest economy yet much of that strength was built on an overvalued birr and a parallel market that told a very different story. By floating the currency, Mamo Mihretu forced the nation to confront its economic reality. His resignation now leaves Ethiopia at a crossroads: rebuild the illusion, or endure the pain of real reform.

Ethio Telecom has begun confirming share allotments for investors in its landmark IPO, the first in Ethiopia’s history. The offering sold 10.7 million shares about 10.7 percent of the total raising 3.2 billion birr from nearly 47,000 citizens. The allotment marks a milestone in Ethiopia’s capital market development, with a second round of the IPO expected to invite diaspora and institutional investors.

Ethiopia’s decision to lift the lending cap will unleash over a trillion birr in new credit opening doors for businesses and households long starved of financing. But without tight monetary controls, the same credit surge could fuel fresh inflation and put new pressure on borrowers. The real test is whether regulators can channel this liquidity into growth without overheating the economy.

The Commercial Bank of Ethiopia is rolling out new service fees from September, ending the era of free digital banking. While the move helps the bank cover rising costs, it risks adding pressure on households and small businesses already squeezed by inflation raising tough questions about who really pays for Ethiopia’s digital finance boom.

Middle-class families and manufacturers face sharper cost pressures as the government moves to align electricity pricing with real costs.

Ethiopian Electric Utility reported a record 4.6 billion birr profit for 2024/25, driven by a surge in energy demand and customer growth. The turnaround signals renewed financial strength for the state-owned utility as it expands access and scales operations amid Ethiopia’s broader infrastructure push.

KCB Group’s planned entry into Ethiopia marks a pivotal shift in East African banking. By targeting equity in a local bank, KCB is positioning itself to capitalize on one of Africa’s most underbanked markets signaling that Ethiopia’s financial liberalization is no longer theoretical, but investable.

Ethiopia is holding its VAT rate steady at 15%, resisting calls for a hike to the regional average of 17.5%. Instead, the government is betting on better tax administration and targeted exemptions to boost revenue while easing the burden on low-income households marking a shift toward equity-driven fiscal reform.

Ethiopia’s biweekly FX auctions have become a rare anchor in a volatile currency market. The August 5 auction showed how timely injections of liquidity can calm both official and parallel rates. But narrowing the stubborn gap requires more than consistency it calls for scaled-up auctions, stronger remittance incentives, and a united push from banks and government. Done right, this approach could shift hard currency back to official channels, rebuild reserves, and gradually erode the parallel market’s grip.

Ethiopia drew $4 billion in FDI during the 2024/25 fiscal year, fueled by sweeping economic reforms, upgraded industrial zones, and a wave of new investment permits. The shift reflects growing global confidence in the country’s liberalization drive, with key inflows targeting manufacturing, agriculture, ICT, and the newly opened import-export sector.

Ethiopia’s Ministry of Finance has published its first-ever Treasury-bill issuance calendar, a key step toward market-based debt management. Covering July to September 2025, the calendar outlines over ETB 117 billion in scheduled issuances and marks a push to enhance transparency, investor confidence, and macroeconomic stability.

Investor demand surges as central bank maintains auction discipline
